Did the GOP Pick Democratic Candidate For Texas?
I think the professional analysts will get into this statistical morass eventually, but I have to consider whether some GOP voters in Texas were casting Hillary ballots as Dems since McCain has a much better chance against her.
This is the turnout for the 2004 primary.
| 2004 | d | r | total | registered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| total | 839231 | 687615 | 1526846 | 12264663 |
| % | 6.84% | 5.61% | 12.45% |
This is the turnout for the 2008 primary.
| 2008 | d | r | total | registered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| early | 1285444 | 561907 | 1847351 | |
| day | 2856813 | 1380907 | 4237720 | |
| total | 4142257 | 1942814 | 6085071 | 12752417 |
| % | 32.48% | 15.23% | 47.72% |
Sure, the Dems are fired up about finally having viable candidates to support — and I think I heard something about dissatisfaction with something about current events or whatever — but I have to believe that former GOP voters contributed to the 2:1 party turnout when four years ago the ratio was almost 1:1.
p.s. This table created with Textile shortcuts. Check out this advanced tutorial on the topic.
2 Responses to “Did the GOP Pick Democratic Candidate For Texas?”
Comment from etrigan
Time March 6, 2008 at 3:39 pm
Another sign the GOP voters were spiking the Democrat punch? Check out this excerpt I received from the DSCC today:
Nearly as many Democrats voted in this week’s primary as voted for John Kerry in the 2004 general election.
(I don’t know how I got on their email list either.)
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Comment from etrigan
Time March 6, 2008 at 1:18 pm
There is something to the fact that the Obama shift from primary to caucus was so significant.
Looking at the numbers by Senate District makes it almost seem like a factor of populous density (except for San Antonio, which may be a Hispanic thing) but again I have to wonder if maybe the GOP voters were willing to waste their primary vote to get rid of Obama, or if the caucus disenfranchising working poor families — who can’t easily afford 2 trips to the poll, leaving children home alone — shows a $ division in the desires of the Democratic Party.
On a side note, in an AICN interview about Chicago 10 Director Brett Morgan quotes Norman Mailer saying the “end of innocence in America started with the Kennedy assassination, ended in Chicago“ at the Democratic Convention. I have to hope that the crazy turn-outs at the primaries and caucusii in Texas may mean we could regain something lost.