So – Dave Zabriskie (Team CSC) breaks the all-time record for Tour de France time trials in the first stage, and beats Armstrong by a couple of seconds. The two of them start the race with a minute’s lead on the rest of the field.

Today, Zabriskie crashes near the Team Time Trial finish, Armstrong takes yellow, and he’s got a minute and a half minimum on anyone who can come close to contending.

What I want to know is – what are the odds on Americans wearing the leader’s jersey for the entire race?